Despite not making gains in Ohio in 2018, our analysis shows that Democrats still have a path to victory in the state if they can turn out Suburban and Urban voters who propelled them to victory in other states.
Analysis
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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Democrats Still Have Path to Victory in Iowa
November 2018’s midterm elections show that despite older and whiter voters continuing to compose a majority of the vote share, Democrats still have a path to winning in the state
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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Significant Surge in Youth, Hispanic Vote Share in California
A significant surge in the vote share of young and Hispanic voters compared to previous elections reflects how a diversifying electorate could have potential impacts on the strength of the blue wave in future elections.
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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Shift to a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Arizona
A new TargetSmart analysis reveals a shift toward a younger and more diverse electorate in Arizona, solidifying its status as an emergent swing state ahead of the 2020 election.
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TargetSmart Analysis Shows Strength of a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Texas
Following an electrifying Senate race where Beto O’Rourke’s campaign nearly claimed Ted Cruz’s Senate seat, an energized youth vote may spell trouble for Donald Trump, John Cornyn, and vulnerable House Republicans in 2020.
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TargetSmart Analysis Shows a Younger and More Diverse Georgia Electorate
It’s been nearly a month since a historic blue wave swept across the country, a midterm election that saw Democrats pick up at least 40 seats in the House.