With 200 days remaining until the midterm elections, most of the punditry seems to have decided that Democrats will face crushing losses in November. The reality is more complex, as Republicans are finding themselves out of step with the mainstream electorate, while underperforming historic precedents for midterm elections. What’s …
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Did Education Sway the VA Election? Maybe, but Probably Not.
New Data Showing ‘Silver Surge’ of Senior Voters Raises Questions About Conventional Wisdom
Before the polls closed in Virginia on Election Day 2021, conventional wisdom was baked: Governor Youngkin bested Terry McAuliffe because of anger over school closures, mask mandates and supposed anger over ‘Critical Race Theory.’
NPR wrote that …
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What the VA Early Vote Tells Us About the Electorate
Next Tuesday, voters across Virginia will cast their ballots in the 2021 general election. While all indicators point to a close race, early vote returns so far look promising for Democrats.
Using TargetSmart’s TargetEarly dashboard, we are able to analyze a wealth of data about who has already voted …
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Voter Purges Among Communities of Color
By Joe Garland
From November 2020 through July 2021, over 8.6 million voters were purged from official registration lists nationwide.[1] Voter purges occur for a variety of reasons – elections officials are required by the National Voter Registration Act[2] to continuously maintain their voter registration lists by removing …
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Data to Honor Hispanic Heritage Month
Insights from 2020 turnout patterns among Latino voters in Maricopa County, Arizona and Miami-Dade County, Florida
By: Ben Lazarus and Joe Garland
In honor of National Hispanic Heritage Month, TargetSmart is diving back into our voter data on the 2020 general election, with a couple specific, local looks at the …
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The Data Pathway to Congress' Reconciliation Package
August was a big month on Capitol Hill, but September is going to be even bigger!
Lawmakers in Congress moved forward with a bipartisan $1 trillion infrastructure package and the Democrats followed shortly behind with a $3.5 trillion budget blueprint that, combined, will advance critical pieces of the Biden …